Live, researched probabilities on the events that move markets, monitored as the world changes.
Hedge funds
Quantified event risk across the book, before the market reprices.
Macro traders
A researched view on every print, meeting, and decision ahead.
Prediction market traders
A researched, monitored view on every market you trade.
Insurers
Forward odds on the catastrophe, policy, and macro events you underwrite.
By the time an event reaches the headlines, it is already priced in. The market has moved, the risk is already on your book, and the window to act has closed. Most teams still work this way: reacting to what already happened, with no researched view of what comes next.
Fate's AI system forms the view before the event, a researched probability that supports your decisions about an uncertain future.
See Fate work end to end, from a question to a monitored, priced forecast.
Ask any what-if yourself, or let Fate scan the calendar and your watchlist to surface the events most likely to move your book.
It reads the sources, weighs base rates, and turns the question into a live, priced probability.
Deep research, key metrics, the distribution, and the channels the event touches, all cited.
Monitor your tickers and exposures; Fate flags the events that touch them and the magnitude of each, so every forecast lands on your positions.
Forecasts reprice in real time. You get the delta, the reason, and alerts on what you monitor.
A sample of what Fate monitors, from rates and energy to geopolitics and equities. Each one researched, priced, and followed with the reasoning and the deltas as it moved.
Every market-moving event in one terminal: priced, monitored, and explained the moment it moves.
Why it moved
Powell's language leaned dovish; two regional presidents endorsed a September move.
Retail sales surprised at +0.6% m/m; a resilient consumer pushes back on the cooling narrative.
CPI printed 2.7% YoY, the third consecutive decline.
A dated log of every reprice: the data print, statement, or headline that moved the odds, by how much, and since you last looked. Never miss why a number changed.
Impact channels
Rates, inflation, energy, geopolitics, equities, crypto. Every event that can move your book, surfaced and researched in one place, not scattered across feeds and terminals.
Base rate
Key metrics, base rates, and the full research report behind every event. Fate hands you the evidence. The decision and the discretion stay yours.
Will the Fed cut rates at the September FOMC meeting?
30-day trend
Binary, numeric, date, and distribution forecasts, each with explicit resolution criteria and confidence, repriced as the world moves.
An AI research terminal that prices market-moving events. Ask a question about the future, or browse the events Fate monitors, and get a researched probability with the full report behind it.
Every forecast carries explicit resolution criteria and resolves against reality, so the track record is measurable. Fate is built to be calibrated: when it says 70%, those events happen about 70% of the time.
Rates, inflation, energy, central banks, geopolitics, crypto, and equities, anything with a resolvable outcome that moves markets. You can also pose your own questions and Fate will price them.
News tools explain what already happened and prediction markets aggregate bets. Fate runs the research itself to form a forward view, with the reasoning, base rates, and a distribution attached to every number.
Hedge funds, macro and event-driven traders, prediction market traders, and insurers, anyone who needs event risk quantified and explained before it happens.
It keeps monitoring. Forecasts reprice as the world moves, and you get the delta, the reason it moved, and alerts on the events you follow.